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410,833
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 31, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Arizona State and BYU. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of play.
If BYU wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona St. vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona St. vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona St. vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team wins the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the 4th quarter of the Arizona St vs BYU game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant momentum swings during the game itself will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as they influence the overall perception of each team’s chances. Unexpected in-game events, such as turnovers or key plays, are also likely to move this market as traders react to the unfolding action.