TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific quarter in a college football game between Arizona State and BYU. It centers on whether one team will outscore the other by a certain margin during the third quarter, providing insight into potential momentum shifts within that timeframe.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Arizona State and BYU exclusively during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points depending on the market. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the third quarter; points from other quarters are irrelevant. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Arizona St. vs BYU game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Buyers are expressing a belief that the spread will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome for the third quarter spread between Arizona St. and BYU, and it adjusts dynamically with each trade.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the third quarter of the Arizona St. vs BYU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona St. or BYU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant betting activity or public sentiment shifts, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role.