TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams during a specific quarter of their game. It focuses exclusively on the points scored in the second quarter, providing insight into potential momentum shifts and strategic execution within that timeframe.
The event evaluates whether BYU or Arizona State University (ASU) achieves a specified point differential victory margin exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow to substantial margins of victory. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter; results from other quarters are irrelevant. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as betting patterns shift, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the second quarter of the Arizona St. vs BYU game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The winning contracts will be those that accurately predicted the actual spread, as determined by official game statistics. The resolution will be based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona St. or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media discussions, could influence trading activity and move the price. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.