TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Arizona State and BYU. It focuses solely on the performance during the first 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends exclusively on which team has more points at halftime.
The market resolves based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Arizona State versus BYU college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If BYU scores more points in the first half, the market resolves to Yes under the BYU outcome. If Arizona State scores more points in the first half, the market resolves to Yes under the Arizona State outcome. If the teams are tied at the end of the first half, the market resolves to Yes under the Tie outcome. All outcomes consider only points scored during the first half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event's likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market is for Arizona St. winning the first half, but prices can fluctuate rapidly based on trading activity and any new information that emerges. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half of the Arizona St. vs BYU game, as determined by official game statistics, will dictate the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also move the market. Finally, even general shifts in public perception, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and alter the implied probabilities reflected in this market.