TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Aristarkhov Serhii and Miroshnychenko Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkhov Serhii' if Aristarkhov Serhii wins against Miroshnychenko Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Miroshnychenko Serhii' if Miroshnychenko Serhii wins against Aristarkhov Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Aristarkhov Serhii and Miroshnychenko Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkhov Serhii' if Aristarkhov Serhii wins against Miroshnychenko Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Miroshnychenko Serhii' if Miroshnychenko Serhii wins against Aristarkhov Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook's lines. This difference can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Aristarkhov vs. Miroshnychenko match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the final result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in related tournaments or significant media coverage focusing on one player over the other are additional catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.