TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Aristarkhov Serhii and Lushchyk Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 11 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkhov Serhii' if Aristarkhov Serhii wins against Lushchyk Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Lushchyk Andrii' if Lushchyk Andrii wins against Aristarkhov Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Aristarkhov Serhii and Lushchyk Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 11 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aristarkhov Serhii' if Aristarkhov Serhii wins against Lushchyk Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Lushchyk Andrii' if Lushchyk Andrii wins against Aristarkhov Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or developments impacting the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changing perspectives on the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aristarkhov vs. Lushchyk match as determined by the governing sporting body. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, with a clear winner declared according to the official rules of the competition. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted and publicly available sources of information.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from players or coaches, as well as expert analysis, might also influence the market. Unexpected weather conditions, if applicable to the match location, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Aristarkhov vs. Lushchyk match has the potential to move the market.