TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Greece Super League game between Aris Thessaloniki and Volos NPS, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aris Thessaloniki vs. Volos NPS match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Greece Super League game between Aris Thessaloniki and Volos NPS, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aris Thessaloniki vs. Volos NPS match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes in the Aris vs. Volos match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Aris vs. Volos match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing soccer league and widely reported by reputable sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Aris Thessaloniki or Volos NPS would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about key players' availability, or even public statements from team officials, could all contribute to shifts in sentiment and trading volume leading up to Oct 11, 2026.