TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the NY Giants will win their game against the ARI Cardinals by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 64.0% probability to that outcome. The market will resolve based on the final score of the ARI Cardinals vs NY Giants Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 4, 2026, to see if the Giants can secure a win by the necessary margin, as that will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the final official score of the ARI Cardinals vs NY Giants Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a point differential threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets are structured symmetrically for both teams, covering a range of margins from narrow victories to dominant wins. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own modeling and a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that these odds represent different things – one is a bookmaker’s estimate, and the other is a collective forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Cardinals-Giants game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a growing belief that the spread will land that way. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Cardinals-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a major sports data provider. Contracts will pay out $1 per contract for winning positions and $0 for losing positions. Traders should monitor the official results to understand the final outcome and the payout of their contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Giants would likely cause movement. Changes in quarterback status, reports on the health of offensive or defensive stars, or even weather forecasts impacting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news about team strategies could also play a role, leading to adjustments in the price of contracts on Kalshi.