TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Arizona Cardinals and the New York Giants. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated game. If the New York Giants score more points in the third quarter than the Arizona Cardinals, the 'New York G' outcome will resolve to Yes. Conversely, if the Arizona Cardinals score more points than the New York Giants in that quarter, the 'Arizona' outcome will resolve to Yes. Should both teams finish the third quarter with equal points, the 'Tie' outcome will resolve to Yes, and all team-specific outcomes will resolve to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution, emphasizing short-term performance over the full game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on large bets, the continuous trading in this market allows for a more dynamic and potentially more accurate reflection of the likely outcome. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team—the Arizona Cardinals or the New York Giants—has the higher score at the end of the third quarter of the game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning team, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Giants would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a key turnover, could lead to substantial adjustments in trader sentiment. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, will also play a role in shaping the price action of this market.