TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors assess whether the combined offensive performance will exceed certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about scoring pace and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both the ARI Cardinals and NY Giants during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets operate independently of one another.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly, potentially offering better value. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Cardinals and Giants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome—in this case, whether over 13.5 points will be scored in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in exceeding 13.5 points, while lower prices suggest the opposite.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter between the Cardinals and Giants is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 3rd quarter will be the determining factor. If the combined score exceeds 13.5 points, the 'yes' contracts will pay out $1 per contract. If the combined score is 13.5 points or less, the 'no' contracts will pay out $1 per contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or Giants would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any adjustments to team strategies, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations.