TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants score together in the second quarter of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to meet the condition. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes.
These markets determine whether the combined second-quarter scoring by the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants exceeds specific point thresholds in their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market features a distinct threshold—from 3.5 to 24.5 points—and resolves to 'Yes' if the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter surpass that threshold. All markets exclusively consider points accumulated in the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. The outcome hinges solely on the cumulative second-quarter performance of both teams relative to each threshold, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the actual outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, and how that contrasts with professional oddsmakers’ initial assessments. Keep in mind that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors beyond pure prediction, such as house edge and marketing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the market aggregates these individual assessments into a collective forecast. The current price reflects the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Cardinals-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for determining the total points scored during that period. The market will settle to 100 if the total points scored in the 2nd quarter are greater than or equal to the threshold, and to 0 if they are below. Traders will then receive or pay out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Cardinals or Giants, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if inclement weather is predicted, could also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, early game performance in the 1st quarter – whether one team establishes a strong offensive rhythm – could shift trader sentiment and influence prices. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could also move this market.