TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will have a decisive lead by the end of that quarter. The outcomes are based solely on performance during that specific period of play.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different point spread threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points, for either team to win by. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the specified team meets or exceeds the designated point spread during that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The governing league's official scoring and game records will determine the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the 2nd quarter. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than traditional markets, but this isn’t always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NY Giants will win the 2nd quarter by more than 2.5 points. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of the Giants covering the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for contracts related to the Cardinals-Giants 2nd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the 2nd quarter of the Cardinals-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score differential at the end of the 2nd quarter. If the Giants are winning by more than 2.5 points, contracts predicting that outcome will pay out $1.00 each. Otherwise, they will expire worthless. The official game results will be the final determination for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cardinals or Giants, particularly the quarterback or key offensive players, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and therefore the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the price of contracts to fluctuate. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, may also play a role.