TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New York Giants will win their October 4th, 2026, professional football game against the Arizona Cardinals. Currently, Kalshi gives New York a 68.0% probability of winning, while Arizona is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the ARI Cardinals vs NY Giants Pro Football game originally scheduled for that date, as determined by the official game result. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 4th, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified Pro Football game. If the game ends in a tie, each market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective beliefs of informed traders. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from this market, providing an opportunity for arbitrage. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cardinals-Giants game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a fair value, representing the market's assessment of the probability of each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current market price reflects the aggregated insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cardinals-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported by official sources. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Cardinals or the Giants would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market expectations, leading to price movements.