TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Faroe Islands Premier League between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Argir vs B36 Torshavn professional Faroe Islands Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Argir wins, B36 Torshavn wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation time plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, sometimes differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Argir vs B36 Torshavn match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, can also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception, causing prices to move. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential shifts in this market.