TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an international friendly soccer match between Argentina and Burkina Faso. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match must complete its full 90 minutes plus stoppage time for the result to count.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored in the Argentina vs Burkina Faso professional international friendly soccer game exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual goals exceed that threshold. The match must be officially completed as scheduled for the outcome to apply. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders collectively believe will happen. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the potential for goals in the Argentina-Burkina Faso match. It’s a useful exercise to compare and contrast the two to understand differing perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a specific outcome is likely, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of each outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the final goal tally in the Argentina-Burkina Faso game. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if that outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, once the final score of the Argentina versus Burkina Faso match is officially confirmed. The outcome will be determined by the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goal outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Argentina or Burkina Faso teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, and even public sentiment expressed on social media, can all contribute to shifts in price as traders adjust their predictions based on new information. Unexpected team lineup announcements are also likely to move this market.