TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 3 at 4:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 3 at 4:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Predict, can react more quickly to new information and changing sentiment. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, prediction markets directly reflect the collective belief of those actively trading on the event's outcome, potentially offering a different perspective.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current spread, for example, indicates the market's expectation of the point differential in the Argentina vs. Burkina Faso match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Argentina vs. Burkina Faso match, as reported by official sporting authorities. Resolution will occur after the completion of the match and the official confirmation of the final score. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Argentina or Burkina Faso teams would likely impact the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions at the match venue could also influence trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also lead to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.