TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can arise due to varying information and perspectives.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Argentina vs. Benin match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can quickly move the market price. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price fluctuations, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Predict.