TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Argentina vs. Benin FIFA International Friendly match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the ‘Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 0.5’ outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official result reported on FIFA’s website (https://www.fifa.com). Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 6th at 7:00 PM ET, as the final score will directly resolve this market.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of the crowd. If significant differences appear, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the collective forecast for the Argentina vs. Benin match, and changes in volume signal shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Argentina vs. Benin match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could cause the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market's forecast for the Argentina vs. Benin match.