TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Argentina vs. Benin
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Argentina vs. Benin?

Volume:
$9,529,818

Argentina

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 9:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Argentina

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,181,297
N/A
N/A
$859,856
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$872,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ARG

View
99%
1%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$22,345
$75,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$204
$52,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,205,958
N/A
N/A
$1,182,670
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Argentina vs. Benin)

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BEN

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$154
$35,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Benin

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,759,204
N/A
N/A
$3,162,792
Settled
No
polymarket

Benin

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Argentina winning its professional International Friendly soccer game against Benin, scheduled for October 6, 2026. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi gives Argentina an 89.3% chance of winning, with a 10% probability given to a tie. Resolution will be determined based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by all participating platforms, and sourced from the result of the Argentina vs Benin match. Keep an eye on October 6, 2026, as this is the date of the match and will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies a 'No' resolution if the game is canceled, while Kalshi does not address cancellation, potentially leaving markets open indefinitely.Hero tip: Polymarket's defined cancellation resolution offers more clarity. Consider this when assessing market liquidity and potential for prolonged uncertainty on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official stats, Flashscore, or Sofascore as backup sources. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not specify a resolution if the game is canceled. Relies on official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Argentina and Benin.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Argentina vs Benin professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. The market resolves based on the full-time result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Argentina win, Benin win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Argentina and Benin.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Argentina vs. Benin match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $9,529,818, with $9,391,563 traded in the last 24 hours. It provides a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, allowing you to see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard tracks this event’s price discovery across venues, offering a comprehensive look at market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While both aim to predict the result of the Argentina vs. Benin match, the mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially different probabilities.