TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:28 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Indonesia Liga 1 game, scheduled for October 31 at 4:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Indonesia Liga 1 game, scheduled for October 31 at 4:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating certain probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a unit of exposure to a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Arema FC vs. Bali United match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Unexpected injuries to key players on either Arema FC or Bali United would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. News regarding team formations, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams, or changes in coaching staff, could also be influential. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move the market.