TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Arema FC and Bali United, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arema FC" if Arema FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bali United" if Bali United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Arema FC and Bali United, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arema FC" if Arema FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bali United" if Bali United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their books and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, you might find a different probability distribution here, as traders weigh various factors like team form, injuries, and head-to-head records. Discrepancies can create opportunities for arbitrage, where informed traders capitalize on price differences.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Arema FC vs. Bali United match. Official match records and widely accepted sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome’s shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arema FC or Bali United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also alter perceptions. Even weather conditions on match day, or announcements regarding tactical changes, could prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.