TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a UEFA Europa League match between Ararat-Armenia FA and AZ. The market includes a comprehensive list of possible scores, as well as an 'Any Other Score' option. Resolution depends on the official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Ararat-Armenia FA and AZ, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Ararat-Armenia FA and AZ, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities across both types of platforms.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Ararat-Armenia vs. AZ match may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in trader participation, market liquidity, and differing opinions on the likely outcome. Each platform attracts a unique user base with potentially different information and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the trading mechanisms and fee structures on Polymarket and Predict can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both markets aim to predict the same event: the exact score of the match.