TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento?

Total volume:
$24
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$3,884
20%
Open interest:
$24N/A

Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento

 - Polymarket

Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 10, 2026

Time left: 07d:13h:59m

Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento

83%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 83¢ buys you 120 shares | Odds: 83% Total Payout: $120 | Net Profit: $20 Multiplier: 1.20x | ROI: 20% APY not meaningful 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Napoli Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento

Trade
83%
Yes 83¢No 18¢
1¢
$2,804
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 13h
Active
kalshi

Napoli Basket

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 59m
Active
polymarket

Napoli Basket (-9.5)

Trade
56%
Yes 57¢No 46¢
3¢
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 59m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Aquila Basket Trento

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 59m
Active
polymarket

O/U 172.5

Trade
56%
Yes 59¢No 46¢
5¢
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 59m
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This group forecasts the winner of a EuroCup basketball game between Napoli Basket and Aquila Basket Trento, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team wins the game, including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name, while Kalshi uses a Yes/No format for either team winning.Hero tip: Be aware that the resolution values will differ between platforms despite the underlying event being the same. Focus on the probability of either team winning, not the specific resolution value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team: "Napoli Basket" or "Aquila Basket Trento". "If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to 'Napoli Basket'. If the Aquila Basket Trento win, the market will resolve to 'Aquila Basket Trento'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Napoli Basket wins, and 'Yes' if Aquila Basket Trento wins. "If Napoli Basket wins...the market resolves to Yes. If Aquila Basket Trento wins...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming EuroCup game between Aquila Basket Trento and Napoli Basket, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basket". If the Aquila Basket Trento win, the market will resolve to "Aquila Basket Trento". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional EuroCup basketball game between Aquila Basket Trento and Napoli Basket, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 2:00 PM EST. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can adjust rapidly to incorporate new information or changing perceptions about the Italian basketball matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior. Differences in volume – currently $24 overall – can also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create independent price discovery processes, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the same outcome in the Italian basketball matchup.

This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Napoli Basket versus Aquila Basket Trento game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the Italian basketball matchup.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Napoli Basket or Aquila Basket Trento would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Unexpected announcements regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any major upsets in other games involving these teams, or changes in overall league standings, might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Ultimately, any new information perceived to affect the outcome of the Italian basketball matchup has the potential to move this market.