TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in an Italian league match. The outcome depends solely on which team scores more points by the end of regulation time.
Markets resolve based on the official winner of the APU Udine vs Pallacanestro Cantu game scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome and highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous trading up until resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Italian basketball game. The current market price represents the best available estimate of the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the APU Udine versus Pallacanestro Cantu basketball game. The final score and winner will be sourced from official league data and verified to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market price at the time of resolution. This process ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event, or shifts in public perception of each team’s strengths and weaknesses, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and manage their risk.