TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 8:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between Appalachian State Mountaineers and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for November 2nd. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.
This event is for the CBB game between Appalachian State Mountaineers and Merrimack College Warriors on November 2 at 6:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Merrimack versus Appalachian State men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Appalachian State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Merrimack market resolves to No. Conversely, if Merrimack wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Appalachian State’s market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This event is for the CBB game between Appalachian State Mountaineers and Merrimack College Warriors on November 2 at 6:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily focus on setting lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. However, both aim to represent the likelihood of various results, and can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive price movement, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game could also play a role in influencing market dynamics.