TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Kicker and Thiago Cigarran in the Antofagasta, Chile, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Nicolas Kicker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Kicker and Thiago Cigarran in the Antofagasta, Chile, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Nicolas Kicker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading their beliefs about the outcome of the Kicker vs Cigarran match. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or a major event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kicker vs Cigarran match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kicker vs Cigarran match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the match. Resolution will determine which outcome—a win for Kicker or a win for Cigarran—is considered the correct prediction. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or strategy could also impact the market. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also prompt traders to reassess their predictions for the Kicker vs Cigarran match, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations.