TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 5:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely expressing their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest. It's common to see discrepancies as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the collective expectation for the result of the Antofagasta tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta tennis match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even pre-match interviews revealing a player’s strategy, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.