TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, though this is not always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price of shares indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Antofagasta match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected developments related to the match could significantly shift sentiment. Additionally, updates on weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game's outcome could also cause price movements. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market's price.