TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the Antofagasta, Chile, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the Antofagasta, Chile, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving collective intelligence of the market participants, creating a constantly updated forecast for the match’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. The outcome of this market will be determined by the official match result, as reported by a recognized tennis authority.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s participation, or even reports on their preparation leading up to the match, could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily move the odds, reflecting their strong conviction about the likely outcome of the Antofagasta tennis match.