TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Joao Lucas Da Silva in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Juan Carlos Prado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Joao Lucas Da Silva in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Juan Carlos Prado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular boxer winning, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. This dynamic can lead to interesting discrepancies, and potentially, opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the one most traders believe will occur.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta boxing match between Juan Carlos Prado and Joao Lucas Da Silva. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to stay informed about potential resolution triggers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also introduce volatility. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the odds to move.