TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Bautista Torres and Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Juan Bautista Torres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Bautista Torres and Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Juan Bautista Torres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders react to news and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new developments emerge. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where the sportsbook’s assessment differs from the prediction market’s.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The market’s depth—the number of shares available at different price points—indicates the level of conviction among traders. The current price movements show how traders are interpreting available information about the fighters.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Antofagasta match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, but the official declaration remains the primary factor.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause adjustments. Public analysis from boxing experts and any updates on fighter weight or physical condition leading up to the match are also likely to move the market. Any significant development related to either Juan Bautista Torres or Pedro Boscardin Dias could impact the odds.