TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Joaquin Aguilar will win against Lautaro Midon in their upcoming tennis match in Antofagasta. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Joaquin Aguilar (-1.5) versus Lautaro Midon (+1.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET, as this is when the outcome of the match—and therefore this market—will become clear.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Lautaro Midon in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Lautaro Midon. This market will resolve to 'Lautaro Midon' if Lautaro Midon advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent distinct viewpoints.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant boxing authorities following the conclusion of the Antofagasta boxing match. The winner of the match, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause price movement. Official weigh-in results, pre-match interviews, and analysis from boxing experts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to the event itself, such as venue changes or unforeseen circumstances, could lead to shifts in the odds.