TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Francisco Comesana will win against Guido Justo in their upcoming tennis match at the Antofagasta tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 50.0% probability to Francisco Comesana (-3.5) winning against Guido Justo (+3.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Traders should watch the match scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET, as the outcome of this initial fixture will determine the resolution of the market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Francisco Comesana in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta match between Guido Justo and Francisco Comesana. The platform will identify the winner, and that determination will finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create significant price movements, as could any shifts in public opinion reflected in polls or analysis of the match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.