TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Alves vs Varillas match. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately determining the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and is constantly updated as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Alves vs Varillas match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alves vs Varillas match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event for any updates or potential delays.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, expert analysis or updated rankings could sway sentiment. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market related to the Alves vs Varillas match.