TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk and Joao Lucas Da Silva in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk' if Bernardo Munk advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Bernardo Munk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk and Joao Lucas Da Silva in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk' if Bernardo Munk advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Bernardo Munk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of player form and potential advantages. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion on the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the aggregated prediction of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price will rise, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Antofagasta tennis match between Bernardo Munk and Joao Lucas Da Silva, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on recent performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also lead to adjustments in the market price. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either Bernardo Munk or Joao Lucas Da Silva winning the match has the potential to move this market considerably.