TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Antigua and Barbuda and Aruba, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Antigua and Barbuda and Aruba, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals directly wagering on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes compared to traditional odds.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays in reporting the official score may affect the resolution timeline, but the resolution will occur as soon as a reliable source publishes the definitive result. Traders should monitor official sports news outlets for updates regarding the match and its final score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price fluctuations in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Antigua and Barbuda or Aruba could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by social media discussions or expert predictions, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.