TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Volume:
$983,580

Antigua and Barbuda

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 8:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Antigua and Barbuda

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$395,740
N/A
N/A
$170,765
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Antigua and Barbuda

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aruba

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312,700
N/A
N/A
$172,650
Settled
No
polymarket

Aruba

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241,281
N/A
N/A
$99,045
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Antigua and Barbuda will win their soccer match against Aruba on October 6, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Antigua and Barbuda winning is 100.0%, while Aruba winning has a probability of 0.1%. This forecast combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official results reported by https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on the Concacaf Nations League schedule as the October 6, 2026 match date approaches to confirm the game’s status and potential for cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between platforms; Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi's resolution is ambiguous.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution source is official statistics with fallbacks to Flashscore/Sofascore. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation resolution. "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Antigua and Barbuda and Aruba.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Antigua and Barbuda wins, Aruba wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. All markets operate independently, with each resolving to 'Yes' only if its specific condition is met. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $983,580, with $854,401 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view is that a draw is the most likely outcome, though opinions differ between the venues. This allows traders to compare probabilities and potentially capitalize on discrepancies in the market for this event. The dashboard provides a centralized view of the evolving predictions as the match approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from sportsbook expectations. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights faster than sportsbooks, particularly regarding nuanced factors influencing the Antigua and Barbuda vs. Aruba match.