TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Antalyaspor vs. Kayserispor
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor?

Volume:
$120,253

Kayserispor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 2:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kayserispor

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,803
N/A
N/A
$37,562
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayserispor

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Antalyaspor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,448
N/A
N/A
$12,815
Settled
No
polymarket

Antalyaspor

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,575
N/A
N/A
$7,660
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Antalyaspor vs. Kayserispor)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Antalyaspor and Kayserispor scheduled for October 14, 2026. Markets exist for Antalyaspor winning, Kayserispor winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution of 'No' outcomes differs between platforms when the game is canceled.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets will resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi markets will resolve to a winning team or a tie. This creates a potential arbitrage opportunity or risk depending on your positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to "No". This applies to all three markets (Antalyaspor win, Kayserispor win, Draw).
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the market resolves to Yes for the winning team or Tie. This implies a resolution even if the game doesn't occur, which is inconsistent with Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Antalyaspor and Kayserispor.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026: a win for Antalyaspor, a win for Kayserispor, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined rules. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information about team form, injuries, and tactical approaches can lead to varying probabilities assigned by traders on each platform. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; lower volume typically means greater price volatility and potential for divergence. Finally, differing liquidity and market maker activity can contribute to the observed price discrepancies.