TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bursa
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:16h:18m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a Turkish 1. Lig soccer match between Antalyaspor and Bursaspor scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Antalyaspor, Bursaspor, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Antalyaspor and Bursaspor, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event resolves based on the result of the Antalyaspor vs Bursa professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Antalyaspor wins, the 'Antalyaspor' market resolves to Yes. If Bursa wins, the 'Bursa' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by supply and demand—traders buying and selling based on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the crowd's collective intelligence tends to be well-calibrated. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often influence initial trading in prediction markets. The volume of $113 in this market suggests growing interest, potentially impacting price discovery relative to sportsbooks.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also influence price formation. Furthermore, liquidity—the volume of trading—can differ significantly between the two venues. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06? at 54.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Bursa wins at 49.0%. These discrepancies present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price differences across platforms.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information that emerges. The final price will reflect the market's collective assessment of the match's outcome at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team management, or shifts in team form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader football league news might affect perceptions of team strength. Finally, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements, especially with the current volume of $113.