TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game, scheduled for October 6 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game, scheduled for October 6 at 3:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities of various outcomes. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market allows for dynamic adjustments based on a wider range of information and opinions, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and professional assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Angola vs. Malawi match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will determine the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact predictions. Major upsets in other related matches, or shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and alter the perceived probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly up until Oct 6, 2026.