TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Angola vs. Malawi
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Angola vs. Malawi?

Volume:
$198,025

Angola

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Angola

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,824
N/A
N/A
$23,802
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Angola

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malawi

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,695
N/A
N/A
$46,892
Settled
No
polymarket

Malawi

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,955
N/A
N/A
$48,896
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Angola vs. Malawi)

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Angola vs. Malawi AFCON Qualifiers soccer game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers separate markets for each outcome (Angola win, draw, Malawi win), while Kalshi has a market for any of those outcomes resolving to 'Yes'. Cancellation handling also differs.Hero tip: Be mindful of the different market structures and ensure you're trading the outcome you intend to. Consider the implications of a cancellation on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Separate markets exist for Angola win, draw, and Malawi win. If the game is canceled, the Angola win market resolves to "No".
  • Kalshi: A single market resolves to 'Yes' if Angola wins *or* the game ends in a tie. If the game ends in a tie, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Angola and Malawi.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Angola vs Malawi AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Angola resolves the 'Angola' market to Yes; a win for Malawi resolves the 'Malawi' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome of the Angola vs. Malawi match. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information incorporated by each group and differing incentives. However, both types of odds provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of different results.