TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Angers and Marseille. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the offensive performance of both teams during regular time.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored in the Angers vs Marseille professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Multiple markets correspond to different goal thresholds (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from sportsbook probabilities, especially as new information emerges – such as team news or changes in form. It's common to see differences, as each venue has a unique set of participants and information sources influencing their prices.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Angers vs Marseille match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Angers vs Marseille match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contract – representing a specific total goals range – corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Angers or Marseille would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or significant changes to the expected starting lineups could also impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the probabilities evolve leading up to the final whistle.