TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Angers vs Marseille: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Angers vs Marseille?

Volume:
$39,968

Marseille wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 10:58 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,222
N/A
N/A
$6,314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,636
N/A
N/A
$7,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,399
N/A
N/A
$4,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Angers wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,285
N/A
N/A
$1,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Angers wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
$905
Settled
No
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Angers and Marseille, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the two teams at the end of regular time, including stoppage time but excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Angers vs Marseille Ligue 1 match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Angers winning by more than 2.5 goals, Angers winning by more than 1.5 goals, Marseille winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Marseille winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event explicitly states that the platform operating the markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Angers vs Marseille match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of price movements. Currently, the total volume for this market is $39,893, with $38,657 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to see how confidence in different outcomes is shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and helps traders make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's value in a particular outcome that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Angers vs Marseille match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Angers vs Marseille match as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or a significant change in team strategy could also lead to price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.