TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Angers and Lorient. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Angers vs Lorient Ligue 1 match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). All resolutions are based solely on goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. The markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately regardless of outcomes in other markets. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all league-related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Angers vs Lorient match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The most actively traded outcomes will generally have the tightest spreads.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Angers vs Lorient match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match, as officially recorded, will determine which contracts pay out. No additional information or subjective interpretation will be used; the resolution is based solely on the official match result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Angers or Lorient would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Even team lineup announcements closer to kickoff can shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also move this market as traders react to new information.