TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais - Exact Score
Description
This event group covers the exact final score of the Ligue 1 match between Angers SCO and Olympique Lyonnais scheduled for April 5, 2026. Polymarket offers granular exact-score outcomes (0-0, 1-0, 0-3, etc.) plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four binary markets based on goal-differential thresholds (Lyon >1.5, Angers >2.5, Angers >1.5, Lyon >2.5). Both platforms measure the result at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses exhaustive exact-score buckets with explicit cancellation rules and source hierarchy; Kalshi uses independent goal-differential binary conditions with no stated cancellation or source policy. Both measure 90+stoppage time, but the resolution architectures are fundamentally different.Hero Tip:
Polymarket provides complete outcome coverage and explicit edge-case handling (cancellation = 0-0). Kalshi's four markets leave many scores unresolved (e.g., 1-1, 2-2, 0-0 all resolve to NO on all four markets). For full market coverage, use Polymarket. For directional goal-differential bets, use Kalshi but understand the gaps. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation and official source policy before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Exhaustive exact-score resolution: 18 explicit outcomes (0-0 through 3-2) plus 'Any Other Score' catch-all. Primary source is official statistics within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no makeup resolves to 0-0. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
- Kalshi: Four independent binary goal-differential markets: Lyon >1.5, Angers >2.5, Angers >1.5, Lyon >2.5. No explicit cancellation clause, source policy, or 'Any Other' outcome stated. Many score combinations (e.g., 1-1, 2-2, 0-0) resolve to NO on all four markets simultaneously.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.