TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 9:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 9:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market relies on the willingness of traders to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the Angers vs. Marseille match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Angers vs. Marseille match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, taking into account any potential postponements or cancellations. The market will then determine which outcome – a win for Angers, a win for Marseille, or a draw – has been accurately predicted by the highest volume of traders on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Angers or Marseille would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or significant news related to team management could contribute to price movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.