TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Andorra and Castellon in La Liga 2. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Andorra wins, Castellon wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Andorra vs Castellon professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Andorra wins, the 'Andorra' market resolves to Yes. If Castellon wins, the 'Castelloni' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs about the outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that influences perceptions of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of confidence traders have in their predictions and the potential for price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Andorra vs Castellon match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the settlement process. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or significant media coverage focusing on one team’s strengths or weaknesses, could also lead to price movements. Major announcements related to the teams or the league they play in are likely to impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.