TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
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Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:18h:22m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Anderlecht and Salzburg. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Anderlecht vs Salzburg professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The resolution considers only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time, penalty shootouts, or any other post-regulation periods are excluded. Multiple outcome thresholds (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals) are evaluated, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis of the Anderlecht vs Salzburg match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 2.5 goals will be scored, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Anderlecht vs Salzburg match will be the determining factor. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Anderlecht or Salzburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also shift the market. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts offering strong opinions on the expected goal tally could sway trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.