TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Anaheim and Philadelphia, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specified number of goals. The resolution depends on the official game result, accounting for potential postponements within a defined timeframe.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Anaheim vs Philadelphia NHL game scheduled for October 24, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team’s victory. Four distinct markets exist: Philadelphia winning by over 2.5 goals, Philadelphia winning by over 1.5 goals, Anaheim winning by over 1.5 goals, and Anaheim winning by over 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met according to the official final score, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome threshold they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand – what people are willing to pay to bet on a particular outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the predictive power of traditional polls or analyst predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks incorporate factors like profit margins and perceived public biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Anaheim vs Philadelphia spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on this activity. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Anaheim vs Philadelphia game. The resolution will be based on the point spread as officially recorded by the governing body of the sport, and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Anaheim or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or game location could also trigger price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to move this market.