TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different margin-of-victory scenarios for an upcoming NHL game between Anaheim and New York R. It focuses on whether either team secures a decisive lead of varying goal differentials. The outcomes reflect the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the match.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating a specific goal-differential outcome for the Anaheim vs New York R NHL game scheduled for October 19, 2026. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary rules define distinct winning conditions—New York R winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Anaheim winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals—each determining a 'Yes' resolution for its respective market. The structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of victory margin, offering multiple pathways for potential payouts based on the game’s final score.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Anaheim vs New York baseball spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a particular side of the spread, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Anaheim vs New York baseball game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the game, determining whether Anaheim wins by over 1.5 runs, or not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will not. The platform will verify the outcome against official game data to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in pitching matchups, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or significant adjustments to team strategies, may also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Anaheim vs New York baseball spread.